Trump 2.0.

Trump 2.0., NATO and Europe's Security

A discussion with leading security policy experts on Trump's inauguration day

Programme

Jan 20, 2025 / Vienna / European Security and Defence / Global Affairs


On January 20, 2025, the Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES), in collaboration with the Vienna School of International Studies (DA), hosted a thought-provoking event titled “Trump 2.0, NATO, and Europe’s Security.” The gathering brought together key figures in the field of international security to examine the potential implications of a second Trump presidency for NATO and Europe’s strategic landscape.

The event featured General Chris Badia (Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Transformation), Mag. Nico Lange (Senior Advisor, Munich Security Conference), and Generalleutnant Bruno Hofbauer (Deputy General Chief of Staff, Austrian Armed Forces). Moderated by Dr. Werner Fasslabend (President, AIES), the discussion was opened by Michael Zinkanell (Director, AIES) and Martina Schubert (Deputy Director, Vienna School of International Studies).

The conversation began with an analysis of NATO’s strategic posture in light of current geopolitical uncertainties. General Badia emphasised the critical role of credible deterrence in maintaining peace and security. He underlined the persistent threat posed by Russia, noting that NATO must remain prepared and agile to prevent strategic surprises. Deterrence, he argued, is not just about military strength but also about the perception of readiness.

The dialogue also delved into hybrid threats, a growing concern in today’s interconnected world. Speakers highlighted how disinformation campaigns, cyberattacks, and economic coercion challenge the cohesion of NATO and the broader international community. Mag. Lange pointed out that NATO’s Article 4, which calls for consultations among allies, is a vital mechanism for addressing these non-traditional threats, ensuring collective understanding and action.

Another key theme was leadership within the alliance. The speakers reflected on Germany’s critical role as a cornerstone of NATO’s European pillar, while Austria’s position as a neutral, non-NATO member was examined in the context of broader regional security. General Hofbauer stressed the importance of a unified European approach, arguing that Europe must bolster its role within the transatlantic alliance to remain a credible and proactive partner.

The issue of defence spending and innovation featured prominently in the discussion. As traditional security challenges evolve, the panel underscored the need for greater investment in cutting-edge technologies, including artificial intelligence and cyber defense. Such advancements, they argued, are essential for addressing both current and emerging threats effectively.

The event provided a nuanced and comprehensive exploration of the challenges and opportunities facing NATO and Europe in an uncertain geopolitical era. By addressing topics such as deterrence, hybrid threats, defence innovation, and leadership, the speakers offered important insights into the future of Europe’s security.



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